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Unlocking Export Potential of Georgia: Strategic Insights for High-Growth Sectors and European Market Expansion

Product of Georgia wine cork on a background of corks representing export potential of Georgia

A new report by the ISET Policy Institute provides a comprehensive analysis of Georgia’s fastest-growing export sectors, revealing significant opportunities for small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) to increase their export potential to European markets. Supported by the European Union and the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP), the study identifies six key sectors in Georgia that demonstrate strong potential for export diversification and market expansion across Europe.

High-Growth Sectors in Georgia: Key Findings and Export Opportunities

This detailed ISET report blends both quantitative data and qualitative insights from industry stakeholders, highlighting the top six sectors:

  • manufacture of beverages,
  • transport,
  • telecommunications,
  • computer and information services, and
  • manufacture of wearing apparel.

Each of these sectors is shown to have substantial export competitiveness, growing demand in European markets, and opportunities for sustainable growth despite existing challenges.

Beverage Manufacturing in Georgia: High Export Potential for Wine and Spirits

One of the highest-ranking sectors in Georgia is beverage manufacturing, particularly in the production and export of wine, mineral water, and spirits. Although Georgia’s beverage exports are growing rapidly, the report reveals untapped potential in the European Union market. By enhancing certification processes and building export capacity, Georgia’s beverage industry could significantly increase its presence in Europe, particularly in high-demand niche markets like organic wines and premium spirits.

Digital Economy Growth: Telecommunications, Computer, and Information Services

Georgia’s telecommunications, computer, and information services sector is another high-potential industry. With SMEs contributing 84% of turnover in computer services, the sector plays a vital role in Georgia’s digital economy. Demand for these services is growing across Europe, making this sector a key driver for future export growth. The report suggests targeting European digital markets and strengthening public-private partnerships to further enhance the sector’s international competitiveness.

Strategic Recommendations to Boost Georgia’s Export Competitiveness

The report provides actionable recommendations to further boost Georgia’s export performance. These include improving infrastructure quality, expanding access to financing for SMEs, and encouraging public-private collaboration. To stay competitive in European markets, Georgian SMEs are advised to focus on green technology adoption, niche market targeting, and meeting international quality standards through certification improvements.

Preparing Georgia for Sustainable Export Growth and European Market Integration

With significant export potential across multiple sectors, Georgia is poised to expand its presence in European markets. By investing in strategic policy frameworks and fostering SME growth, the country can accelerate its economic integration with Europe. Georgia’s small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) have a crucial role to play in driving sustainable economic growth and export diversification in the coming years.

About ISET Policy Institute

ISET Policy Institute is the leading economic policy think tank in Georgia, specializing in research, training, and policy consultation in the South Caucasus region. The institute focuses on promoting good governance and fostering inclusive economic development.

For more information, visit ISET Policy Institute.

To read more policy briefs published by the ISET Policy Institute, visit the Institute’s page on the FREE Network’s website.

Disclaimer: The opinions expressed in policy briefs, news posts, and other publications are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the FREE Network and its research institutes.

Media (de)Polarization Index | July 2024

Graphic illustration of media polarization in Georgia, showing two opposing human faces made from crumpled paper representing political bias and dissimilarity in media outlets representing Media Polarization Index in July 2024.

In July 2024, the Georgia Media Polarization Index saw a notable rise due to several key political events. For instance, the United States indefinitely postponed the “Worthy Partner 2024” military exercise. Additionally, President Salome Zurabishvili returned proposed Pension Law amendments to Parliament for further review. Moreover, she appointed a non-judge member to the Supreme Council of Justice, though the court later suspended this member. However, during periods of opposition party unification and Georgian athletes’ successes at the Olympics, the index experienced a decline.

Interactive Chart: Polarity Index Only – July

Media (de)Polarization Index – 2020-2024 (as of July 2024)

What is the Georgia Media Polarization Index?

The Georgia Media Polarization Index, created by the ISET Policy Institute, serves as a powerful tool for measuring the level of political bias and polarization across Georgia’s leading media outlets. This index examines the political dissimilarities in news coverage, offering a clear, data-driven analysis of media bias in Georgia.

How the Media Polarization Index Works

The Media Polarization Index utilizes a weighted average to assess political dissimilarities between various Georgian media outlets. Media sources with higher ratings exert greater influence on the overall results, providing a more comprehensive understanding of political content distribution. This method helps in identifying where each media outlet stands on the political spectrum, allowing users to visualize the extent of media bias.

Importance and Application of the Media Polarization Index

The Georgia Media Polarization Index is crucial for researchers, policymakers, and media watchdogs focused on monitoring media bias and polarization trends. It provides valuable insights into how Georgian media outlets shape political discourse and evolve over time. The findings from the index support efforts to promote balanced media coverage, inform policy decisions, and encourage dialogue on the media’s influence in Georgia’s political landscape.

About ISET Policy Institute

ISET Policy Institute is the leading economic policy think tank in Georgia, specializing in research, training, and policy consultation in the South Caucasus region. The institute focuses on promoting good governance and fostering inclusive economic development. For more information, visit ISET Policy Institute.

To read more policy briefs published by the ISET Policy Institute, visit the Institute’s page on the FREE Network’s website.

Disclaimer: The opinions expressed in policy briefs, news posts, and other publications are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the FREE Network and its research institutes.

China’s Investment in Georgia’s Anaklia Deep Sea Port Project: Risks and Recommendations

Large container cargo vessel being loaded at a deep sea port with cranes, colorful shipping containers, and a clear blue sky

A new policy brief from the ISET Policy Institute evaluates the risks associated with China’s investment in Georgia’s Anaklia Deep Sea Port Project. The report sheds light on China’s lending practices and its status as the largest bilateral creditor to low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). The brief identifies key financial and geopolitical risks that could arise from China’s involvement in the Anaklia port, and it offers strategic recommendations for Georgia to mitigate these potential threats.

China’s Lending Practices: Hidden Risks in Infrastructure Projects

China’s lending to LMICs is largely driven by the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), focusing on infrastructure, transport, energy, and mining. This lending often includes confidentiality clauses, collateralized loans, and complex debt instruments, all of which pose risks. These practices can lead to hidden debt and financial vulnerabilities for borrowers, especially in large-scale projects like the Anaklia Deep Sea Port.

Anaklia Project’s Risks: Similarities to Other Chinese Infrastructure Investments

The policy brief highlights the similarities between the Anaklia project and other Chinese-backed infrastructure initiatives, such as Sri Lanka’s Hambantota Port. In Sri Lanka, unforeseen low returns led to debt restructuring and a debt-for-equity swap, sparking a global debate over sovereignty loss and debt-trap diplomacy. Georgia faces similar risks if the Anaklia Port Project does not generate the expected economic returns.

Uncertainty Over Cargo Volume: A Major Risk for Anaklia

The success of the Anaklia Deep Sea Port depends on achieving sufficient cargo volume to cover debt obligations. However, the geopolitical environment and uncertain contractual terms pose significant challenges. A failure to meet the projected cargo volume could severely undermine the project’s financial viability.

Policy Recommendations for Georgia: Mitigating China’s Investment Risks

The ISET Policy Institute recommends that Georgia prioritize transparency in all dealings related to the Anaklia project. The report emphasizes the need for robust risk management frameworks, thorough contractual reviews, and alignment with domestic laws and international standards. To further protect itself, Georgia should invest in capacity building in areas such as debt management and public investment oversight.

Despite the recent selection of a Belgian company for construction work at Anaklia, the report stresses that this does not alleviate the core financial and geopolitical risks linked to China’s involvement as an investor.

About ISET Policy Institute

ISET Policy Institute is the leading economic policy think tank in Georgia, specializing in research, training, and policy consultation in the South Caucasus region. The institute focuses on promoting good governance and fostering inclusive economic development.

For more information, visit ISET Policy Institute.

To read more policy briefs published by the ISET Policy Institute, visit the Institute’s page on the FREE Network’s website.

Stockholm Institute of Transition Economics Celebrates Its 35th Anniversary

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June 15, 2024, marks a significant milestone for the Stockholm Institute of Transition Economics (SITE) as it celebrates its 35th anniversary. Over the past three and a half decades, SITE has established itself as a leading institution dedicated to economic research and the development of policies for transition economies.

From its beginnings as Östekonomiska Institutet in 1989, under the leadership of Anders Åslund, to the rebranding as SITE in 1996 with Erik Berglöf at the helm, SITE has continuously evolved as a research institution, securing a position among the world’s top think tanks in the field of economics, with a focus on Eastern Europe. In 2006, Torbjörn Becker brought his expertise from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to lead SITE into a new era of research excellence, strengthening the focus on institution-building in the region.

Reflecting on this anniversary, Torbjörn Becker, Director of SITE, says:

“As we celebrate 35 years of economic research, policy analysis, and institution building, we are reminded of how important it is that we continue to work in this region. I am particularly proud that we are able to work with our fantastic partners in the FREE Network that make significant contributions to how their respective countries reform and develop.”

Building Institutions for Change

Since its foundation in 1989, SITE has been at the forefront of economic research and policy development in transition economies, playing a crucial role in establishing independent think tanks and academic institutions in Belarus, Georgia, Latvia, Poland, Russia, and Ukraine. These research institutes collectively established the Forum for Research on Eastern Europe and Emerging Economies (FREE Network); an umbrella organization that fosters collaboration and mutual learning among researchers, as well as administrative and institutional capacity building. As one of its key initiatives, the network publishes weekly policy briefs addressing contemporary economic policy challenges in Eastern Europe and emerging markets.

Bridging the Gap Between Research and Policy Making 

SITE’s ambition for the years to come remains unchanged: to bridge the gap between leading academic research and current policy making through debate and communication. At our flagship events, such as SITE Development Day and the SITE Academic Conference, we are committed to debating topics where research can pave the way to solving global and regional challenges. In our weekly seminars and regular workshops, we remain dedicated to exchanging ideas with leading experts and policymakers. In the last decades, SITE’s research has been cited by top journals in economics, while its impact beyond academic journals has resulted in more than 30 million impressions across local and international news.

Key Milestones in SITE’s History

Using the Financial System to Enforce Export Controls

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A new Bruegel working paper shows how Russia’s export controls could work better if banks and firms play a larger role. Despite sweeping sanctions, Russia’s imports of “battlefield goods” bounced back close to pre-invasion levels in 2023. To close loopholes, the authors suggest bank-style due diligence for lenders and manufacturers. This approach could choke off illicit tech flows more effectively.

Why Export Controls Matter Now

Russia still gets critical microelectronics and navigation gear through complex routes. In 2023, it imported $12.5 billion of high-priority items, just 2% below pre-war levels. Import patterns shifted. Mainland China accounted for 56.3% and Hong Kong for 19.3%. Meanwhile, Turkey rose to 5.7% and the UAE to 4.2%.

In addition, 40% of these goods are produced for companies headquartered in sanctioning countries. Even more striking, 95% of identifiable foreign parts in Russian weapons still come from Western producers. These figures show why tighter export controls remain urgent.

What the Study Set Out to Do

The authors asked why current export controls underperform. As a solution, they outline a practical plan. First, banks should identify and block suspicious trade payments. Second, non-financial firms should adopt “know your customer” checks across their distributor networks. Together, these steps would help reduce illicit flows.

Key Research Findings

  • Russia’s battlefield goods imports rebounded quickly after spring 2022 and are again near pre-invasion levels.
  • Third-country hubs, especially China and Hong Kong, now dominate shipment routes, as shown in the report’s charts.
  • Western technology remains embedded. Forty percent of the import value is tied to coalition producers. Moreover, 95% of foreign parts in Russian weapons are Western.
  • Leveraging banks’ AML/CFT systems and tightening disclosure, such as item descriptions and HS codes, would make export controls stronger.

What This Means

In practice, turning banks into frontline enforcers could flag risky payments before goods move. For example, trade finance documents often reveal items and counterparties. Furthermore, extending similar diligence to manufacturers, backed by penalties for negligence, would close loopholes. As a result, sensitive parts would find it harder to reach Russia. Finally, stronger guidance and wider data sharing are essential to make export controls credible.

Read the Full Report

Learn more about the role of export controls, the challenges of implementation, and the financial system’s contribution in the latest working paper from KSE Institute and Bruegel.

Meet the Researchers

  • Benjamin Hilgenstock: KSE Institute. 
  • Elina Ribakova: Bruegel. 
  • Anna Vlasyuk: KSE Institute. 
  • Guntram Wolff: Bruegel.

Georgia (de)Media Polarization Index: Measuring Political Bias Across Media Outlets

Graphic illustration of media polarization in Georgia, showing two opposing human faces made from crumpled paper representing political bias and dissimilarity in media outlets representing Media Polarization Index.

The Georgia Media Polarization Index, developed by the ISET Policy Institute, is a key tool for measuring political dissimilarity across the country’s leading media outlets. This Index captures the level of polarization in Georgian media by examining the political differences in news coverage. It offers a clear, data-driven approach to understanding media bias.

What the Media Polarization Index Measures

The Media Polarization Index uses a weighted average to measure political dissimilarities between various Georgian media outlets. Ratings determine the weight assigned to each outlet, so higher-rated sources have a greater influence on the results. The Index evaluates how different the political content is across these media platforms. This creates a clear picture of where each media outlet stands in terms of political bias.

The Role of Natural Language Processing (NLP) Models

To build the Index, the ISET Policy Institute uses advanced Natural Language Processing (NLP) techniques. The analysis relies heavily on two models: Word2Vec and Doc2Vec. These models analyze the language in political news articles and extract deeper meanings from the content.

The Doc2Vec model, specifically trained for the Georgian language, plays a central role in this process. It was developed using a large collection of over 250,000 political news articles from diverse media outlets in Georgia. This training allows the model to interpret nuanced meanings in political news. As a result, it provides a highly detailed analysis of media content.

How the Index Measures Dissimilarity

The Doc2Vec model is applied to political news articles from several prominent Georgian media outlets, including Imedi, Mtavari, TV Pirveli, 1TV (Public Broadcaster), Formula, PosTV, and Rustavi2. Using cosine similarity metrics, the model maps the articles into a high-dimensional space. The cosine similarity metric then measures how closely the political content of one outlet aligns with others. A wider angle between vectors, or a smaller cosine similarity, indicates greater political dissimilarity between media outlets.

Clustering Media Outlets Based on Bias

One of the most important insights from the Index is the identification of media clusters. The Index not only measures political dissimilarity across all outlets but also identifies clusters of outlets with similar political biases. The politically biased dissimilarity is calculated by comparing the total dissimilarity with the average dissimilarity within these clusters. This helps the Index identify both the overall level of polarization and the specific biases between different media groups.

Application of the Media Polarization Index

The Georgia Media Polarization Index is an essential tool for analyzing political bias and dissimilarity across Georgian media outlets. It provides critical insights for researchers, policymakers, and media watchdogs who monitor how media bias and polarization evolve over time. The findings from the Index can guide policy decisions, support the push for more balanced media coverage, and encourage constructive dialogue on the media’s role in shaping political discourse in Georgia.

About ISET Policy Institute

ISET Policy Institute is the leading economic policy think tank in Georgia, specializing in research, training, and policy consultation in the South Caucasus region. The institute focuses on promoting good governance and fostering inclusive economic development. For more information, visit ISET Policy Institute.

To read more policy briefs published by the ISET Policy Institute, visit the Institute’s page on the FREE Network’s website.

Disclaimer: The opinions expressed in policy briefs, news posts, and other publications are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the FREE Network and its research institutes.

KSE Institute: Further Weakening of Russian Macroeconomic Stability Will Require Additional Measures

20240321 Weakening Russian Macroeconomic Stability Image 01

The KSE Institute has recently released its March Russia Chartbook titled “Further Weakening of Russian Macroeconomic Stability Will Require Additional Measures.” The chartbook examines Russia’s current economic landscape, highlighting key trends and challenges. Notably, Russia’s foreign trade has stabilized at a new post-sanctions baseline, characterized by reduced exports and a notable recovery in imports. Meanwhile, on the fiscal front, escalating expenditures are contributing to an uptick in the budget deficit.

Why the Russian Economy Matters Now

Since 2022, Russia’s trade has settled into a smaller “new normal.” Exports hover near $100 billion per quarter while imports sit around $75 billion. As a result, the current account surplus in 2023 tumbled to $50 billion, down 79% from 2022. This weaker external backdrop keeps pressure on the ruble and forces tighter policy.

What the Study Set Out to Explain

The chartbook tracks how sanctions, oil-market enforcement, and wartime budgets are reshaping the Russian economy. It asks whether today’s growth is durable and what steps could further limit Russia’s ability to finance the war.

Key Research Findings

  • The current account surplus shrank to $50 billion in 2023, from a record $238 billion in 2022.
  • Oil sanctions bite unevenly: discounts widened again, and OFAC tanker designations sidelined much of the shadow fleet.
  • The federal deficit reached 1.5 trillion rubles in January–February 2024, already 92% of the full-year plan; tax hikes worth ~4 trillion rubles are on the table.
  • Half of the National Welfare Fund’s liquid assets are gone; hard-currency NWF assets have been depleted, leaving mainly yuan and gold.

Read the Full Report

To read the whole of KSE Institute’s latest Russia Chartbook, visit the presentation by Benjamin Hilgenstock, Senior Economist, Yuliia Pavytska, Manager of the Sanctions Programme, and Vira Ivanchuk, Research Analyst.

Meet the Researchers

Enhanced Access to Data Can Reduce the Gender Gap

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On International Women’s Day, researchers from the FREE Network institutes released the policy brief Closing the Gender Data Gap to highlight the crucial role of data in addressing economic inequalities between women and men. The brief explores how improved data collection and access can help reduce the gender gap across labor markets, income, education, pensions, and caregiving responsibilities.

Why Better Data Matters for Gender Equality

In recent decades, progress in documenting historical developments and expanding access to new data sources has significantly improved our understanding of the different economic outcomes experienced by women and men. Today, researchers have deeper insights into:

  • Labor market participation and outcomes
  • Income levels and wealth accumulation
  • Educational investments and pension systems
  • Consumption and household decision-making
  • Caregiving responsibilities and time use

These insights show that better data reduces the gender gap by revealing disparities and helping shape effective policy responses.

Key Findings

The policy brief emphasizes that to effectively design policies and strategies, data must be more accurate, comprehensive, and regularly updated. The researchers outline four critical recommendations:

  • Increase access to digitized information – Governments and public institutions should make more administrative and statistical data available for research.
  • Support funding for surveys – Combining survey data with administrative sources enhances both detail and reliability.
  • Ensure regular data collection – Continuous monitoring allows researchers to measure the impact of major events such as legislation, conflicts, pandemics, or natural disasters.
  • Leverage innovative data sources – Mobile apps, social media, and other digital platforms provide new perspectives on socio-economic trends and gender disparities.

About the Authors

The policy brief “Closing the Gender Data Gap” was authored by:

  • Michal Myck (CenEA)
  • Monika Oczkowska (CenEA)
  • Pamela Campa (SITE)
  • Maria Perrotta Berlin (SITE)
  • Jesper Roine (SITE)

Media Contact

For press or media inquiries, please contact: Maria Perrotta Berlin, Professor at SITE, Phone: 0737332198, Email: Maria.Perrotta [at] hhs.se

FROGEE Survey on Gender Equality in Eastern Europe: Dataset

20240307 FROGEE Survey on Gender Equality Poster 001

This dataset presents a broad set of indicators on gender inequality, based on the FROGEE Gender Equality in Eastern Europe survey. Researchers in the FREE Network, who have long been involved in the FROGEE collaboration, designed the survey and administered it in late 2021. It reached representative samples in eight countries of the network: Armenia, Belarus, Georgia, Latvia, Poland, Russia, Sweden, and Ukraine.

The survey covers many aspects of everyday life, including socio-economic conditions, demographics, material situations, family, and housing. In addition, it explores domestic and gender-based violence, focusing on respondents’ evaluations and perceptions rather than their personal experiences. Moreover, it investigates attitudes toward violence and harassment, perceived inequalities, and views on the current legal framework.

(DATASET AVAILABLE HERE)

Data Policy

This page provides the dataset for scientific use. Researchers may freely use the data, whether unchanged or transformed, for academic purposes. However, they must attribute the source correctly, and they may not present their work in a way that suggests endorsement by the FREE Network.

The study collected its data through voluntary and confidential interviews. This process ensured that participants’ responses remained protected.

Suggested citation: FREE Network. (2024). FROGEE Gender Equality in Eastern Europe Survey Data [Data set]. Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.10777928

Explore the Dataset

Observing Experiences: Gender Bias and Treatment of Women in Daily Life

Witnessing Violence and Harassment Against Women in Everyday Situations

Attitudes Toward Gender-based Abuse

Disclaimer: Opinions expressed in policy briefs and other publications are those of the authors; they do not necessarily reflect those of the FREE Network and its research institutes.

Media Influence on Behavior During COVID-19: Insights from a Recent Study

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In their paper, recently accepted by Health Economics, Marcel Garz from Jönköping University and Maiting Zhuang from the Stockholm Institute of Transition Economics (SITE) shed light on the impact of media coverage on individual behavior during the Covid-19 pandemic in Sweden.

Understanding Media Influence on Pandemic Behaviour

This paper explores the intricate relationship between media depictions of COVID-19 and shifts in individuals’ conduct, focusing on Sweden, a standout nation for not imposing lockdowns or curfews during the pandemic. Instead, Sweden relied on voluntary compliance with public health recommendations, making it a crucial case study in media influence on pandemic behaviour.

Researchers Marcel Garz and Maiting Zhuang analyzed Swedish newspaper articles about Covid-19 in 2020, totalling 200,000 articles. The study utilized mobility data from Google and employed a robust methodology, including municipality-day panel models and instrumental variable strategies, to ensure accurate results.

The research contributes to the empirical literature by identifying the causal impact of media coverage on individual behavior during a public health crisis.

Key Findings on Media Influence Pandemic Behaviour

The results unveil a significant correlation between media coverage and alterations in behavior patterns. Specifically, mentions of COVID-19 in the media correlated with reduced visits to workplaces and retail and recreation areas, while simultaneously extending the duration of stays in residential locations. Employing two distinct identification strategies, the researchers established a causal link between media coverage and behavioral changes.

Moreover, the study underscores that the impact of media coverage is most pronounced when news stories are locally relevant, visible, and based on facts. Articles referencing crisis managers and providing explicit public health advice were identified as having significant effects on behavior.

These findings carry broad implications for public communication strategies, emphasizing the pivotal role of local media in shaping individual responses to public health crises.

Full Research Paper Access

For a comprehensive understanding of the research background, methodology, data and variables, as well as the empirical strategy and conclusions, kindly refer to the complete paper on Health Economics.